Former US President Donald Trump's recent comments describing Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi as a "very smart man" and a "great friend of mine" have sparked renewed interest in the dynamics of the US-India relationship. This isn't the first time Trump has spoken favorably of Modi, and their seemingly cordial relationship during Trump's presidency often made headlines. But what does this mean for the future of US-India relations, particularly given the change in US administration?
Trump's praise for Modi comes at a time when the US and India are navigating a complex geopolitical landscape. Both countries share concerns about China's growing influence and are seeking to strengthen their strategic partnership. While the Biden administration has continued to engage with India on issues of mutual interest, the tone and approach differ from Trump's more personalized style of diplomacy.
The relationship between Trump and Modi was often characterized by grand gestures and public displays of camaraderie, such as the "Howdy, Modi!" event in Houston and Trump's visit to India in 2020. These events, while visually striking, were sometimes criticized for lacking substance in terms of concrete policy outcomes.
However, it's important to acknowledge that the US-India relationship saw some significant developments during Trump's tenure. The two countries deepened their defense cooperation, expanded trade ties, and collaborated on counterterrorism efforts. The Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (Quad), involving the US, India, Japan, and Australia, also gained momentum under Trump, aiming to counter China's assertiveness in the Indo-Pacific region.
While personal chemistry between leaders can play a role in international relations, the underlying strategic interests of nations often dictate the long-term trajectory of bilateral ties. The US and India share a number of common goals, including promoting a free and open Indo-Pacific, combating terrorism, and fostering economic growth.
The Biden administration has emphasized the importance of shared democratic values in its approach to foreign policy, which could introduce a different dynamic to the US-India relationship. While the strategic partnership remains strong, there might be greater scrutiny of India's domestic policies, particularly concerning human rights and religious freedom.
Looking ahead, the US-India relationship is likely to remain a cornerstone of US foreign policy in the Indo-Pacific region. Regardless of who occupies the White House, the convergence of strategic interests between the two countries will continue to drive cooperation on a range of issues.
Trump's comments about Modi serve as a reminder of the complex interplay of personal relationships and strategic considerations in international affairs. While the future of the US-India relationship will depend on a multitude of factors, the foundation for a strong partnership remains firmly in place.
